⚖️Election 2026 · Independent Analysis

The Justice Gap

Only 1 in 100 sexual violence cases results in a conviction in New Zealand. Here is what each political party's actual policies - not their press releases - would do about that.

1%

of sexual violence cases result in a conviction

That means for every 100 children or adults who experience sexual violence in New Zealand, 99 perpetrators face no legal consequence whatsoever. This is not a justice system - it is a system that has decided survivors are not worth protecting.

Source: NZ Crime & Victims Survey 2023 · Ministry of Justice 2024

~196,000

Sexual violence victimisations per year (estimated)

NZ Crime & Victims Survey 2023

~10%

Cases reported to Police

NZ Crime & Victims Survey 2023

~3%

Cases that result in a charge

Ministry of Justice 2024

~1%

Cases that result in a conviction

Ministry of Justice 2024

4.5 years

Average prison sentence for sexual violation

MoJ Sentencing Data 2023

~2.2 years

Average time actually served

Corrections Dept 2023

~28%

Reoffending rate within 5 years

Corrections Dept 2024

The Attrition Funnel

What happens to 196,000 sexual violence victimisations per year

Victimisations196,000 (100%)
Reported to Police19,600 (10%)
Charged5,880 (3%)
Convicted1,960 (1%)

Party Survivor Protection Score

Based on actual voting records and formal policy positions - not campaign promises. Higher = stronger protections for survivors.

NationalACTLabourGreensTe Pāti MāoriNZ First0255075100

Score methodology: mandatory minimums (25pts), name suppression reform (20pts), victims' rights (20pts), opposition to sentence reductions (20pts), no prison reduction targets for serious offenders (15pts)

What Did Your Party Actually Vote For?

Select a party above to see their actual voting record vs their campaign promises.

The Name Suppression Problem

In New Zealand, name suppression is granted at a rate that is significantly higher than comparable countries. Wealth, social standing, and the ability to hire experienced legal counsel are documented factors in suppression decisions. The result: some of the most serious offenders are never publicly identified, and survivors have no way to warn their communities.

No major party has introduced legislation to reform the name suppression test to explicitly exclude wealth or social standing as grounds for suppression. This is a gap that Lobby for Good is actively campaigning to close.

Data Sources

• NZ Crime and Victims Survey 2023 (Stats NZ)

• Ministry of Justice: Criminal Justice Statistics 2024

• Department of Corrections: Reoffending Statistics 2024

• Green Party Justice Policy (greens.org.nz, accessed April 2026)

• Parliamentary voting records (parliament.nz)

• Youth Voices Action / Coerce Campaign Research, 2025

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